According to The Kobeissi Letter, the 1-month annualized Core PCE inflation is currently at +4.5%. Additionally, the 1, 3, and 6-month annualized headline and core PCE inflation rates are all exceeding 3.0%. These figures suggest a rising inflation trend which could impact Federal Reserve policies and market interest rates, influencing trading strategies in fixed income and currency markets.

According to Edward Dowd, the inflation surge from 2022 to 2024 caused a historic bear market in fixed income assets, pushing investors towards stocks as a hedge against inflation. However, recent stock market volatility serves as a reminder of the potential downsides.